Comments on: Update and Remarks http://www.predictioneersgame.com/update-and-remarks Using the Logic of Brazen Self-Interest to See and Shape the Future Thu, 17 Feb 2011 14:58:09 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: admin http://www.predictioneersgame.com/update-and-remarks/comment-page-1#comment-3551 admin Fri, 10 Dec 2010 11:46:27 +0000 http://www.predictioneersgame.com/?p=200#comment-3551 The ISA paper is scheduled for publication in the journal Conflict Management and Peace Science (CMPS). This can be obtained at any university library or through a university's jstor subscription. If you have none of these sources of access you can write to the journal's publisher to see if you can purchase a copy of the article. Typically this can be done online for very little, maybe $5. As for other publications, the book's web page has a list and so do the endnotes to the book. For instance, you might want to read European Community Decision Making, edited by Frans Stokman and me and published by Yale University Press or my short boo, Predicting Politics (Ohio State University Press) but these are on the old model. The math and structure of the new model is set out in the CMPS paper that is due out within the next few months. The ISA paper is scheduled for publication in the journal Conflict Management and Peace Science (CMPS). This can be obtained at any university library or through a university’s jstor subscription. If you have none of these sources of access you can write to the journal’s publisher to see if you can purchase a copy of the article. Typically this can be done online for very little, maybe $5. As for other publications, the book’s web page has a list and so do the endnotes to the book. For instance, you might want to read European Community Decision Making, edited by Frans Stokman and me and published by Yale University Press or my short boo, Predicting Politics (Ohio State University Press) but these are on the old model. The math and structure of the new model is set out in the CMPS paper that is due out within the next few months.

]]> By: Roland Kofler http://www.predictioneersgame.com/update-and-remarks/comment-page-1#comment-3522 Roland Kofler Wed, 01 Dec 2010 21:47:25 +0000 http://www.predictioneersgame.com/?p=200#comment-3522 Bruce, with all respect, the ISA 2009 paper (must be 'a new model for predicting policy choices', true?) is not public so we can't check your model without becoming ISA member. You mention other books and articles descibing the model. Please tell us the titles, or make the articles available on your website. For me, listening the audiobook and for others reading the book, judging from the amazon comments, 'it is all a mystery' since we can not check back the model, even though I am prepared to work trough all the math. Thank you! Roland Bruce, with all respect, the ISA 2009 paper (must be ‘a new model for predicting policy choices’, true?) is not public so we can’t check your model without becoming ISA member. You mention other books and articles descibing the model. Please tell us the titles, or make the articles available on your website. For me, listening the audiobook and for others reading the book, judging from the amazon comments, ‘it is all a mystery’ since we can not check back the model, even though I am prepared to work trough all the math.

Thank you!
Roland

]]> By: ROBERT F. KELLEY http://www.predictioneersgame.com/update-and-remarks/comment-page-1#comment-1344 ROBERT F. KELLEY Sun, 20 Jun 2010 00:37:14 +0000 http://www.predictioneersgame.com/?p=200#comment-1344 <i>Having grown up in the South,general elections were de rigueur...and results were [in a word] results. Democracy rests on the foundation of <b>"we the people"</b>and not on 'in minority'. Having grown up in the South,general elections were de rigueur…and results were [in a word] results. Democracy rests on the foundation of “we the people”and not on ‘in minority’.

]]> By: Norm Gustafson http://www.predictioneersgame.com/update-and-remarks/comment-page-1#comment-1209 Norm Gustafson Thu, 03 Jun 2010 18:12:38 +0000 http://www.predictioneersgame.com/?p=200#comment-1209 Bruce, I've enjoyed your books and Hoover podcasts, and recommended them to others. Out here in California we have a little proposition on the ballot allowing primary cross-over ("open primary") -- perhaps you've heard of it? I did a little checking with raw election results (through the Cal. Sec'y. of State -- bless the web!) on a few races; and it doesn't seem to change the results. Presidentially, Obama and Clinton would have been in the General-- but that wouldn't have made any difference in the outcome for McCain (or would it?). It seems obvious that minority/third-party candidates would get nowhere (as is true now). What is your take on this "open" primary scheme? Thanks! Norm PS: I'm a former registered party member -- disgusted with campaign mud -- who is currently non-partisan (in CA: "Decline to State"). Bruce,

I’ve enjoyed your books and Hoover podcasts, and recommended them to others.

Out here in California we have a little proposition on the ballot allowing primary cross-over (“open primary”) — perhaps you’ve heard of it?

I did a little checking with raw election results (through the Cal. Sec’y. of State — bless the web!) on a few races; and it doesn’t seem to change the results.

Presidentially, Obama and Clinton would have been in the General– but that wouldn’t have made any difference in the outcome for McCain (or would it?).

It seems obvious that minority/third-party candidates would get nowhere (as is true now).

What is your take on this “open” primary scheme?

Thanks! Norm

PS: I’m a former registered party member — disgusted with campaign mud — who is currently non-partisan (in CA: “Decline to State”).

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